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  • The K indicator epidemic model follows the Gompertz curve (Tokyo Tech)

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Research classification

  • Detecting and treating infection by AI

Stages of technologies

  • Established technology, industrial use

Applied AI technologies

  • Statistical test, Data science

Nakano and Ikeda have proposed a novel indicator called "K" to represent a growth status in COVID-19 spread. We analyzed the mathematical properties of the K indicator with their temporal change model, and proved that the model is essentially identical to the Gompertz curve. Nakano and Ikeda derived, by fitting the data, an empirical equation k = 1+2.88K', which binds the internal model parameter k with the time derivative (K') of the K indicator. Here we derive the same equation analytically.

Laboratories, researchers, and contact address

Yutaka Akiyama (akiyama[atmark]c.titech.ac.jp) Akiyama laboratory,

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